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Research paper | 01-November-2017

BORROWING INFORMATION OVER TIME IN BINOMIAL/LOGIT NORMAL MODELS FOR SMALL AREA ESTIMATION

logits of the true proportions. Effective sample sizes are defined so variances given the true proportions equal corresponding sampling variances of the direct survey estimates. We extend the BLN model to bivariate and time series (first order autoregressive) versions to permit borrowing information from past survey estimates, then apply these models to data used by the U.S. Census Bureau’s Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) program to predict county poverty for school-age children. We

Carolina Franco, William R. Bell

Statistics in Transition New Series, Volume 16 , ISSUE 4, 563–584

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